Who said Hun Sen government is strong and patriotic?

Political Analysis Today:
by Khmer Young

We will see more communist political tactics employ by Hun Sen government to discredit and demolish the SRP but at the end, Hun Sen will loss face that his power will have no legitimacy because of main opposition leader cannot compete with him in the political ring.

Dear Cambodian Compatriots:

It has been almost two years since 23 September 2010 court of Cambodia sentenced Sam Rainsy 12 years in jail in absentia. Everyone including kids who are still sucking their fingers know that the decision of the court and the involvement of Cambodian government with this court is politically motivated.

However, this card playing by Hun Sen is crucially important. If we idealized about the nature of politics, Hun Sen can play any card for the sake of power like Thomas Hobbs described politics as the use of every means to success and gain the power. But if we idealized this tactic in a Cambodian conscience, it is surely unacceptable and indignant.

Why the game of trial of Sam Rainsy including the two farmers at the border is indignant?

The answer is because Hun Sen and his court are playing the political game of serving foreigner.

In Cambodian constitution clearly stated that every Cambodian people especially government or opposition party obtain full duty to protect the border territory particularly the farmers living along the border. All farmers' complains at the border must be justly cared and solved.

So, in this matter, Hun Sen government is not only abusing his power to serve foreigner, but CPP court is also violating the chapter of Cambodian constitution. Cambodian people and opposition party will sue the court and the Hun Sen government about this violation (if the Cambodian court is puppetic and cannot proceed this verdict, we will also raise this issue to the co-signatories of Paris Peace Agreement who has also participated with the ratification of Cambodian national constitution).

But it is not necessary to go further for that as Hun Sen now is stuck by his own image of puppetic policy and indignant strategy.

• 1. The Cambodian people have seen clearly that the sentence of opposition leader, Sam Rainsy, and those farmers are political trial that serve the Vietnamese interest more than Cambodian interest.
• 2. The political propaganda of Preah Vihear to divert the attention of Cambodian people are not working very well and it has demonstrated Hun Sen government's weakness in handling the issue with Thailand.
• 3. The political propaganda of creating division inside the SRP, the creation of HRP to orchestrate as the main alternative opposition party, the creation of oversea movement (such as the so-called KPPM of SSR) to discredit SRP and their leader, the buy-out and entitlement of SRP members and especially Sam Rainsy are in vain now.

We will see more communist political tactics employ by Hun Sen government to discredit and demolish the SRP but at the end, Hun Sen will loss face that his power will have no legitimacy because of main opposition leader cannot compete with him in the political ring.

And the last card Hun Sen will play is the election mechanism and vote-manipulating and buying. But like I mentioned earlier, Hun Sen is aware about it. He can buy power by fake election/voting, but he can not buy Cambodian people heart. And finally, Hun Sen cannot write a new history of Cambodia for younger Cambodians. In that time, Hun Sen will be inscribed as the traitor and murderer like Pol Pot. Certainly, Pol Pot and Hun Sen including few high ranking figures like Hor Namhong and Keath Chon are former Khmer Rouge leaders.

At the end, Sam Rainsy and SRP party only that truly work for Cambodia and her beloved people. More Hun Sen try to discredit and demolish this party, more we can see SRP become the leading Naga.

Do you understand the "Law of Reaction"?

Khmer Young

Election for Power Legitimacy in Cambodia: 3rd Episode "A Strongman in a Weak State"

Last time in 2nd Episode I described "the statement of Cambodia Prime Minister to discard the National Congress from National Constitution, his fearful political rhetoric to jeopardize the people, and the use of major parliamentary to lift opposition immunity without conscience" are the sign of leader's inability to protect the constitution, to provide rubric for bottom-line people, and lacking of check and balance of power...which all these showcase the characteristic of "weak state" that "strongman" is perpetuating to consolidate his power.

CPP is leading major voice in the assembly but this party is not relevant to the amount of valid votes. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is far away from all vote registrants of 8 millions. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is very very far way from the total Cambodian population (14 millions).

This time I will concentrate on the "Cambodia Election" has been used as the mean to legitimize personal power. And this practice is showing Cambodia as one of the weak states lacking willingness to implement "the rule of law". Major Cambodian people might see the victory of CPP in recent national election (27 July 2008) as their proud victory, but observers and academic analysts see this election as a game of "power legitimacy". There are numerous complaints made by Opposition Parties about the unequal media distribution, ballot irregularities, vote buying, intimidation, bias National Election Committee (NEC), and other disenfranchisement etc. But all these might not be relevant like "the very low participation of the voters".

When we are looking at the numbers of vote registrants, we satisfy with that. There were about 8 million registrants or around 60 percent (8/14 millions). But when we look at the actual valid vote number, there are around 6 millions cast their ballots (or 6,010,277 total valid votes). So we can say that 2 millions skeptically lost their chance to cast the ballot. But when we look at the vote numbers casting for CPP, there are around 3 millions (3,492,374 votes). This number is not significant for CPP to receive major seats in the assembly at all. However, CPP is taking absolute major voice in the parliament. This party is holding 90 seats among all 123 seats.

This 90 seats don't correctly reflect the 5.4 percent votes cast for CPP at all. CPP is leading major voice in the assembly but this party is not relevant to the amount of valid votes. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is far away from all vote registrants of 8 millions. CPP is leading the major voice in the assembly but this party is very very far way from the total Cambodian population (14 millions). This election figure tells us the myth of political legimacy gained by the CPP in Cambodia. Comparing 3.4 million voted for CPP with 14 millions of total population surely informs us the "weakness" of Cambodia nation. It is weak because the 90 seats of major voice really doesn't reflect the support of Cambodians. CPP is lacking support from Cambodian people, but why opposition party cannot step into this situation? This also shows the "weakness" of Cambodia nation. Opposition needs to warm up themselves a little bit. CPP is not truly leading opposition party in a strong manner, but in a weak manner and manipulation.

In conclusion, CPP is proud of its victory over election just for their own power and interest. But CPP's winning of electiion truly informs us the "The Strongman in a Weak State".

KY